Political Business Cycles and Economic Voting

Research Project Funded by the Portuguese Foundation for Science and Thecnology (PTDC/ECO/118501/2010)

Research team

- Linda Gonçalves Veiga (coordinator) - NIPE, University of Minho, Portugal.

- Francisco José Veiga - NIPE, University of Minho, Portugal.

- Miguel Portela - NIPE, University of Minho, Portugal.

- Henry Chappell (consultant) – University of South Carolina, USA.

 

Research unit

        Economic Policies Research Unit (NIPE), Universidade do Minho

Main objectives

The research plan consists of 4 papers to be published in international journals. The papers will analyse the following topics:

1) What conditions economic voting?

2) Did the EMU change the determinants of vote intentions in Portugal?

3) The use of debt as a strategic variable by Portuguese mayors

4) Political employment cycles in local public firms

 

Funding: 15000 Euros by the Portuguese Foundation for Science and Technology (PTDC/ECO/118501/2010)

Timing: February, 2012 to January, 2015

Main results

Papers:

- Costa, Hélia; Veiga, Linda and Portela, Miguel (2015), "Interactions in local governments’ spending decisions: Evidence from Portugal," Regional Studies, 49(9): 1441-1456.

- Veiga, Linda (2013), "Voting functions in the EU-15", Public Choice, 157(3): 411-428.

- Veiga, Francisco and Martins, Rodrigo (2013), “Economic performance and turnout at national and local elections," Public Choice, 157(3): 429-448.

 

Work in progress:

- Morozumi, Atsuyoshi, Francisco José Veiga and Linda Gonçalves Veiga, “Electoral effects on the composition of public spending and revenue: evidence from a large panel of countries,” NIPE-WP 23/2014.

- Veiga, Linda  and Veiga, Francisco, "Determinants of Portuguese local governments’ indebtedness," NIPE-WP 16/2014.

 

Master thesis supervisions:

- Candidate: Carla Cristina Simões Ribeiro

Title: A questão dos erros sistemáticos nas previsões dos governos para a elaboração de documentos de política orçamental: o caso de Portugal

Supervisor: Linda Veiga

Programme: Master in Economics - University of Minho, Portugal

- Candidate: Ana Isabel Fernandes de Vasconcelos Pereira

Title: Análise das receitas do IVA Português: o impacto da evasão fiscal

Supervisor: Linda Veiga

Programme: Master in Monetary Economics, Banking and Finance - University of Minho, Portugal

- Candidate: Flávia Appel Colvero

Title: Instituições e crescimento económico do Brasil no contexto da América Latina

Supervisor: Francisco Veiga

Programme: Master in Economics - University of Minho, Portugal